Author: Peter B. Dixon and Maureen T. Rimmer
The contribution of an industry to the economy is often measured by an input-output calculation showing labour used directly in the industry and indirectly via the production of intermediate inputs for the industry. This paper demonstrates an alternative approach based on simulations with a dynamic computable general equilibrium model. Rather than measuring contribution in terms of resources used, we look at the potential contribution of an industry in terms of the effect on economic welfare of improved performance. We apply our methodology to the Australian motor vehicle industry by simulating the impact that this industry could make if it were to achieve higher productivity growth, higher export growth and the production of cars of greater appeal to Australian consumers.
JEL classification: C67, C68
Please cite the later published version in:
Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 23(1) 2004, pages 73-87, 03.
Keywords: industry contribution, dynamic CGE analysis, input-output analysis, motor vehicle industry
Working Paper Number G-138 can be downloaded in PDF format.
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